Yesterday (Saturday December 8,2012), the BBC’s lead story on my browser feed was Climate talks: UN forum extends Kyoto Protocol to 2020. Wow, I can hardly contain my excitement. An agreement that doesn’t work has just been extended.
The Kyoto Protocol has always been a bureaucratic solution to the perceived science problem of man caused global warming. The UN has put itself in charge of both the politics and the science. How convenient for them.
The Kyoto Protocol divides the world into two main categories, the developed world and the developing world. Countries in the developed world must limit their carbon emissions, the developing countries have no such limitations. The three biggest contributors in the world are China (28%), the USA (16%) and India (7%). China and India are considered developing countries and the USA has not ratified the treaty.
The three biggest contributors in the world with 51% of the total are not required to do anything under the treaty. Sounds like a recipe for failure to me. The USA as the only developed country that did not ratify the treaty is frequently blamed for the failure of the treaty. In this article the BBC keeps up that proud tradition.
The US – a major polluter – has never ratified the original 1997 protocol.
Per capita carbon use in the USA peaked in 1973. As the Huffington Post noted in a recent article, USA production will be the lowest it has been in 20 years in 2012. Yes, the USA uses more than it’s fair share of energy, but that’s true of all developed countries and we are improving.
China, according to the Global Carbon Project, produced 28% of the total in 2011 and was growing at 9.9% in 2011. They alone were responsible for .28*9.9% or 2.7% of the worlds growth in 2011. The whole world grew at 3.0% in 2011.
This blog is dedicated to the notion that global warming science is full of guesses and questionable assumptions. That said, I believe we are impacting our ecosystem and we should try to do better. We all can do better…and China needs to do more….lots more.
China is the big player in the carbon game. In 2011 China had about the same per capita emissions level as the average EU country and their population has a much lower standard of living. China expects to grow their economy rapidly for many more years as their citizens become more affluent. China needs to become more energy efficient.
I worry more about air pollution and population growth than global climate change. I consider much of the money being spent by the UN and others to try to control climate, a squandering of our scarce resources. We have our priorities wrong. India will pass the USA within 20 years and become the worlds second leading carbon producer simply by growing their population!
The world bank estimates that China has 14 of the 18 most polluted cities in the world. India will soon become the most populous country in the world and it will have a population density about 9 times that of the USA. World population growth and the pollution of the planet are immediate problems that need more resources right now.
Saturday the UN extended an agreement that does not work for 8 more years. Next year the 9th International Carbon Dioxide Conference meets in Beijing. So goes the strange world of climate politics.